Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.318021 0.370363 0.428757 0.498762 0.580459 0.672854 0.785376
2025-02-02 0.244009 0.315430 0.403882 0.521644 0.674613 0.867018 1.128101
2025-02-09 0.202929 0.281701 0.386478 0.536389 0.746033 1.029817 1.444923
2025-02-16 0.172269 0.253374 0.367699 0.541153 0.798791 1.169155 1.745365
2025-02-23 0.147449 0.227932 0.347190 0.537533 0.835390 1.286475 2.026919
2025-03-02 0.125340 0.202490 0.321987 0.521498 0.848542 1.367397 2.260906
2025-03-09 0.114094 0.191962 0.317599 0.536276 0.910471 1.530261 2.646184
2025-03-16 0.102303 0.178658 0.306564 0.537877 0.949676 1.659403 2.990953
2025-03-23 0.093812 0.169649 0.301230 0.547900 1.003687 1.819166 3.409694
2025-03-30 0.083482 0.155939 0.285827 0.537603 1.019234 1.911546 3.716227
2025-04-06 0.075350 0.145142 0.274188 0.532413 1.042946 2.020771 4.068076
2025-04-13 0.069122 0.137112 0.266606 0.533736 1.078838 2.156715 4.489873
2025-04-20 0.066295 0.135516 0.271413 0.560642 1.170315 2.416051 5.206554
2025-04-27 0.063429 0.133504 0.275203 0.586103 1.262556 2.689748 5.995778
2025-05-04 0.059941 0.129727 0.274869 0.602717 1.337980 2.937536 6.763873
2025-05-11 0.055789 0.123992 0.269698 0.608082 1.389266 3.139299 7.456545
2025-05-18 0.051302 0.116948 0.260839 0.604005 1.418514 3.295265 8.064160
2025-05-25 0.046244 0.107994 0.246690 0.585947 1.412767 3.369739 8.485143
2025-06-01 0.044167 0.105678 0.247277 0.602589 1.491968 3.654880 9.472672
2025-06-08 0.041279 0.101081 0.242017 0.604393 1.534903 3.857353 10.277897
2025-06-15 0.039232 0.098278 0.240672 0.615681 1.603120 4.131461 11.312718
2025-06-22 0.036049 0.092265 0.230819 0.604085 1.610591 4.250956 11.945296
2025-06-29 0.033474 0.087498 0.223524 0.598240 1.632564 4.411371 12.716454